FANDOM


TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
1500 UTC THU 02 AUG 2012

CONVECTION LOST LAST NIGHT HAS REDEVELOPED...HOWEVER...THAT HAS DONE
NOTHING TO THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF TD FIVE. SAB AND KCSGACC INDICATE
T2.0/30 KT...TAFB SHOWS T1.0/25 KT AND CIMSS HAS T2.6/37 KT. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY BASED A BLEND OF THESE NUMBERS IS 30 KT/1008 MB.

TD FIVE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST RATHER QUICKLY
AND GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN...TAKING 96 HOURS TO GET NEAR PEAK
INTENSITY. AT THE MOMENT...WIND SHEAR IS NEAR 20-25 MPH BUT IS
EXPECTED TO DECREASE DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. HEAT CONTENT COULD
BE NEAR 110-130 DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
INDICATING FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR STRENGTHENING.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND GREATER ANTILLES SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEPRESSION...BUT FOLLOW YOUR
LOCAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES NOT US.

FORECAST
--------
INIT...02/1200Z...13.0N 53.6W...30 KT 1008 MB
12HR...03/0000Z...13.5N 57.5W...30 KT 1007 MB
24HR...03/1200Z...13.9N 61.9W...35 KT 1005 MB
36HR...04/0000Z...14.3N 64.4W...35 KT 1003 MB
48HR...04/1200Z...14.6N 67.8W...35 KT 1003 MB
72HR...05/1200Z...15.4N 73.4W...40 KT 1001 MB
96HR...06/1200Z...17.3N 79.7W...50 KT  996 MB
120HR..07/1200Z...18.4N 84.3W...50 KT  995 MB

$$
FORECASTER KIEWII

Ad blocker interference detected!


Wikia is a free-to-use site that makes money from advertising. We have a modified experience for viewers using ad blockers

Wikia is not accessible if you’ve made further modifications. Remove the custom ad blocker rule(s) and the page will load as expected.