FANDOM


TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 4
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC AUSTIN TX USA
0000 UTC FRI 03 AUG 2012

...TD FIVE STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

INFORMATION FROM 1800 UTC THU 02 AUG 2012
-----------------------------------------
CURRENT LOCATION: 12.8 NORTH 55.6 WEST
CURRENT WINDS: 45 MPH
CURRENT PRESSURE: 1006 MILLIBARS

DISCUSSION AND FORECAST
-----------------------
AT 1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.6 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARDS THE
WEST AT 22 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND... ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO IS PRODUCING ONLY MARGINAL
GUSTS, THOSE IMPACTED BY THE CORE OF ERNESTO, MAINLY THE ISLANDS OF 
BARBADOS, ST. LUCIA, AND ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES, SHOULD EXPECT
PROLONGED WIND ACTIVITY AND POTENTIALLY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WITHIN 
THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SQUALLY RAIN BANDS FROM ERNESTO WILL ALSO PRODUCE GUSTS
REACHING UP TO 50 MPH.   

RAINFALL... RAINFALL SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM 05L AS IT 
APPROACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES. RAINFALL IS ALREADY IMPACTING
THE ISLANDS OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO. AS ERNESTO IMPACTS THE ISLANDS, 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1" PER HOUR ARE LIKELY, IN THE CORE OF
05L AND ITS RAIN BANDS. MANY OF ERNESTO'S OUTER BANDS ARE ALREADY
IMPACTING THE LESSER ANTILLES, WITH MANY OF THEM PRODUCING UP TO
3 INCHES OF RAIN PER HOUR, AND A QUARTER OF AN INCH OUTPUTS OF RAIN
OVER A WIDER AREA. THE CORE OF ERNESTO SHOULD HAVE ITS MOST IMPACTS
ON THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. 

SURF... SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS OF UP TO 12 FT ARE EXPECTED
OFF THE ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. 

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
COMPLETE: 1500 UTC FRI 03 AUG 2012
INT: 0300 UTC FRI 03 AUG 2012

$$
FORECASTER KIEWII

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