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HURRICANE ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 8
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC AUSTIN TX USA
0000 UTC WED 08 AUG 2012

...ERNESTO STRENGTHENS INTO A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES BELIZE...

INFORMATION FROM 1800 UTC MON 06 AUG 2012
-----------------------------------------
CURRENT LOCATION: 18.7 NORTH 87.1 WEST
CURRENT WINDS: 85 MPH
CURRENT PRESSURE: 983 MILLIBARS

DISCUSSION AND FORECAST
-----------------------
AT 1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARDS 
THE WEST AT 18 MPH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND... HURRICANE ERNESTO IS PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OVER A WIDE AREA... APPROXIMATELY FROM COZUMEL ISLAND TO AS FAR
SOUTH AS DANGRIGA, BELIZE. ALL REGIONS IN THIS AREA WILL LIKELY
EXPERIENCE GUSTS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH, ESPECIALLY IN TORRENTIAL
RAINBANDS THAT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE GUSTS IN THE SEVERE CATEGORY
(65 MPH). HURRICANE WINDS EXTEND IN A MORE LOCALIZED AREA, FROM
CHETUMAL, BELIZE, TO FELIPE CARRRILLO PUERTO IN QUINTANA ROO. 

RAINFALL... HURRICANE ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO DROP HEAVY RAINS...
PRIMARILY WITHIN ITS CENTRO DENSE OVERCAST (CDO). INDIVIDUAL RAINBANDS
MAY ALSO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS IN A SMALL PERIOD OF TIME. IN LOCALIZED
AREAS... UP TO 8-10 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND POTENTIALLY LANDSLIDES.

SURF... AS ERNESTO APPROACHES THE COAST, EXPECT A VERY DANGEROUS 
RIP CURRENT INWARDS TO THE LARGE ERNESTO. OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS AS 
HIGH AS 26 FT ARE EXPECTED... WITH THE ENTIRE COAST OF
QUINTANA ROO EXPECTED TO HAVE AT LEAST 10 FT WAVES.

$$
FORECASTER COBRASTRIKE

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