FANDOM


TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC AUSTIN TX USA
0000 UTC WED 8 AUG 2012

ERNESTO HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. WHILE IT DID
NOT RAPIDLY INTENSIFY, IT HAS STRENGTHENED INTO A WELL DEFINED HURRICANE.
ERNESTO'S CORE, UNLIKE IN THE PAST, IS NOW A SOLID AND PERSISTENT FORM...
WITH COLD CLOUD TOPS. BASED ON 400 KM RADAR IMAGERY FROM BELIZE... ERNESTO
HAS A FORMING EYE... ALBEIT VERY SMALL. IF AN EYE WERE TO BE COMPLETED THIS
WOULD BE A PINHOLE. HOWEVER, ONLY THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE OF THE EYEWALL 
APPEARS STRONG... THE EAST SIDE HAS YET TO DEVELOP ON RADAR IMAGERY, AS WELL
AS ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY. DVORAK SATELLITE ESTIMATES FOR ERNESTO ARE SLIGHTLY
WEAKER THAN EXPECTED... ALTHOUGH THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO A TARGETING MISS AS
INDICATED BY CIMSS' ADT.

THE FORECAST FOR ERNESTO REMAINS GENERALLY THE SAME. IT IS STILL NOT CLEAR AS
TO WHETHER ERNESTO WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY IN THE BAY OF CAMPHECHE...AS MANY
OTHER STORMS DO. AT THIS TIME THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT ERNESTO WILL REMAIN
INTACT ALL THE WAY ACROSS MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC.

FORECAST
--------
INIT...08/0000Z   18.7N 87.1W   75 KT 983 MB
12HR...08/1200Z   19.5N 88.3W   75 KT 984 MB...INLAND
24HR...09/0000Z   20.0N 90.4W   55 KT 989 MB
36HR...09/1200Z   20.3N 92.5W   45 KT 998 MB...OVER WATER
48HR...10/0000Z   20.0N 94.3W   65 KT 988 MB
72HR...11/0000Z   19.3N 97.4W   55 KT 991 MB...INLAND
96HR...12/0000Z   19.6N 103.7W  25 KT 1004 MB...DISSIPATED
120HR..13/0000Z   19.5N, 109.5W 20 KT 1008 MB...OVER WATER

$$
FORECASTER COBRASTRIKE

Ad blocker interference detected!


Wikia is a free-to-use site that makes money from advertising. We have a modified experience for viewers using ad blockers

Wikia is not accessible if you’ve made further modifications. Remove the custom ad blocker rule(s) and the page will load as expected.