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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE
2100 UTC THU 03 AUG 2012

CONVECTION AND BANDING HAS INCREASED WITHIN AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE 
LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. AS THE SYSTEM IS ALREADY 
NEAR TROPICAL STORM STATUS... INVEST 90L HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX. KCSGACC ESTIMATES ARE NEAR T2.0/30 KT AND 
OSCAT DATA REVEAL 35 KT WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THEREFORE 
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 30 KT.

A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED UNTIL ABOUT TAU 36 WHEN THE 
AZORES HIGH SHOULD TILT TD SIX MORE TO THE WEST. STRONGER WIND SHEAR 
COULD AFFECT THE STRUCTURE OF THE LOW DURING THE LATTER OF THE 
FORECAST PERIOD.

FORECAST
--------
INIT...03/1800Z...12.8N 26.0W...30 KT 1006 MB
12HR...04/0600Z...13.6N 28.1W...30 KT 1004 MB
24HR...04/1800Z...14.3N 31.5W...35 KT 1002 MB
36HR...05/0600Z...14.8N 34.1W...35 KT 1001 MB
48HR...05/1800Z...15.1N 36.9W...40 KT  999 MB
72HR...06/1800Z...15.2N 40.8W...45 KT  997 MB
96HR...07/1800Z...16.3N 46.5W...45 KT  996 MB
120HR..08/1800Z...20.1N 53.0W...40 KT  998 MB

$$
FORECASTER KIEWII

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