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INVEST 96E ADVISORY 3
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC AUSTIN TX USA
2100 UTC TUE 3 JULY 2012

THE OVERALL APPEARANCE OF INVEST 96E HAS INCREASED MARKEDLY 
IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. LARGE SCALE BANDING FEATURES AND GENERAL 
SPIN HAVE ENSUED, AND ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE INVEST LIKELY 
HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED IF NOT WILL SHORTLY. DVORAK NUMBERS FOR 96E 
ARE AT 1.5, WHICH FURTHER SUPPORTS THE EVIDENCE THAT 96E IS ALREADY 
A FULLY FLEDGED TROPICAL SYSTEM.

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LOW 96E IS EXPECTED TO HEAD OUT TO 
THE NNW, GENERALLY IN ITS CURRENT HEADING. ALL MODELS ARE IN A GENERAL 
CONSENSUS OVER THE TRACK OF THIS INVEST. HOWEVER, MODEL CONSENSUS ON 
INTENSITY REMAIN UNCLEAR. UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, 96E SHOULD DEVELOP 
INTO AT LEAST A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE, IF NOT A 2. 

FORECAST
--------
INIT...03/1800Z...25KT/1005 MB...INVEST
12HR...04/0600Z...30KT/1002 MB...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR...04/1800Z...45KT/999 MB...TROPICAL STORM
36HR...05/0600Z...50KT/996 MB
48HR...05/1800Z...60T/992 MB
72HR...06/1800Z...70KT/999 MB...HURRICANE
96HR...07/1800Z...75KT/987 MB
120HR..08/1800Z...75KT/985 MB


$$
FORECASTER COBRASTRIKE
Invest 96E Advisory #3
Public Advisory · Forecast Advisory · Discussion

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