HURRICANE DANIEL DISCUSSION ADVISORY 9
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC AUSTIN TX USA
1600 UTC SAT 7 JULY 2012
HURRICANE DANIEL HAS GRADUALLY INTENSIFIED TO BECOME
THE THIRD HURRICANE OF THE YEAR. DANIEL HAS IS A LARGE
SYSTEM WITH VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COMING INTO
IT IN THE FORM OF OUTFLOW. WHILE THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE
STRENGTHENED SLIGHTLY TO A 90 MPH HURRICANE AS
SUGGESTED BY DVORAK ESTIMATES, IT IS LIKELY THAT
DANIEL HAS PEAKED AS IT MOVES OFF INTO COOLER WATERS.
THE FORECAST INTENSITY SUGGESTS A SLOWLY WEAKENING
SYSTEM THAT WILL HAVE DISSIPATED WITHIN 144 HOURS.
THE TRACK REMAINS THE SAME.
FORECAST
--------
INIT...07/1500Z...75KT/980 MB
12HR...08/0300Z...75KT/982 MB
24HR...08/1500Z...70KT/985 MB
36HR...09/0300Z...65KT/987 MB
48HR...09/1500Z...60KT/992 MB...TROPICAL STORM
72HR...10/1500Z...50KT/996 MB
96HR...11/1500Z...40KT/999 MB
120HR..12/1500Z...30KT/1001 MB...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
$$
FORECASTER COBRASTRIKE