TROPICAL STORM EMILIA ADVISORY DISCUSSION 2
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC COLUMBUS OH USA
2000 UTC SUN 8 JULY 2012
THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. EMILIA IS A VERY ORGANIZED SYSTEM,
WITH SPIRAL BANDS. EMILIA IS AFFECTED BY THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE DANIEL.
BUT IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE AS IT MOVES NORTHWEST. DVORAK NUMBERS ARE
HIGH FOR THIS SYSTEM.
THE FORECAST FOR THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME UNCERTAINTY, ESPECIALLY THE STRENGTH.
HRWF PEAKS EMILIA VERY EARLY AND WEAKENS IT VERY FAST, WHILE OTHER MODELS
MAKE EMILIA STRENGTHEN SLOWLY AND WEAKEN SLOWLY. SO THE FORECAST WILL FOLLOW
THE MAJORITY OF THE MODELS.
FORECAST
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INIT 08/2000Z 45KT 1000 MB
12HR 09/0000Z 55KT 995 MB
24HR 09/1200Z 65KT 985 MB
36HR 10/0000Z 85KT 970 MB
48HR 10/1200Z 110KT 950 MB
72HR 11/0000Z 100KT 960 MB
96HR 11/1200Z 90KT 970 MB
120HR 12/0000Z 75KT 980 MB
$$
FORECASTER ISAAC