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INVEST 98E ADVISORY NUMBER 2
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
2100 UTC TUE 10 JULY 2012

...98E STRENGTHENS A BIT...

INFORMATION FROM 2100 UTC TUE 10 JULY 2012
------------------------------------------
CURRENT LOCATION: 11.8 NORTH 101.5 WEST
CURRENT WINDS: 30 MPH
CURRENT PRESSURE: 1007 MILLIBARS
CURRENT MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH
DEVELOPMENT (48H) CHANCE: 50%

DISCUSSION AND FORECAST
-----------------------
GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED IN THE FIRST PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
BEFORE A LITTLE MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION BRINGS 98E UP TO HURRICANE
STATUS. WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LOWER THAN WHAT WAS PREVIOUSLY
FORECAST AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 28-29C.

INIT...10/1800Z...11.8N 101.5W...25 KT 1007 MB
12HR...11/0600Z...12.4N 102.4W...30 KT 1005 MB
24HR...11/1800Z...13.2N 104.2W...40 KT 1000 MB
36HR...12/0600Z...13.9N 105.8W...50 KT  995 MB
48HR...12/1800Z...14.7N 107.4W...60 KT  989 MB
72HR...13/1800Z...15.5N 110.8W...65 KT  986 MB
96HR...14/1800Z...16.7N 113.5W...65 KT  987 MB
120HR..15/1800Z...17.6N 115.7W...60 KT  990 MB

FORECASTER KIEWII

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