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INVEST 98E ADVISORY NUMBER 3
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
0900 UTC WED 11 JULY 2012

...98E STRENGTHENS A BIT...

INFORMATION FROM 0900 UTC WED 11 JULY 2012
------------------------------------------
CURRENT LOCATION: 12.2 NORTH 102.7 WEST
CURRENT WINDS: 30 MPH
CURRENT PRESSURE: 1006 MILLIBARS
CURRENT MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH
DEVELOPMENT (48H) CHANCE: 80%

DISCUSSION AND FORECAST
-----------------------
98E HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. WIND SHEAR COULD
REMAIN MODERATE DURING THIS STORMS LIFETIME SO WE HAVE LOWERED THE FORECAST
PEAK ITENSITY TO 60 KT. THIS DECISION WAS ALSO MADE BASED ON A BLEND OF
OTHER FORECAST MODELS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER PEAK.

INIT...11/0600Z...12.4N 102.7W...25 KT 1006 MB
12HR...11/1800Z...13.0N 103.9W...30 KT 1003 MB
24HR...12/0600Z...13.7N 105.0W...40 KT 1000 MB
36HR...12/1800Z...14.4N 105.9W...45 KT  997 MB
48HR...13/0600Z...14.7N 108.3W...55 KT  994 MB
72HR...14/0600Z...15.9N 110.5W...60 KT  990 MB
96HR...15/0600Z...17.1N 113.4W...55 KT  993 MB
120HR..16/0600Z...18.2N 117.0W...50 KT  996 MB

FORECASTER KIEWII

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