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EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE (EC) SIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
1500 UTC SAT 14 JULY 2012

...ONCE THIS CYCLONE MOVES ACROSS THE 40 DEGREES WEST LINE...IT WILL BE OFFICIALLY
CYCLONE ALEXANDA. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO CONTINUE ACROSS 40W
FOR MAYBE EVEN A FEW MORE DAYS...

...KCSGACC SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE ABOUT E2.5 OR 40 KT. OSCAT INDICATES ISOLATED
40 KT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT WHILE THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER SHOWS UP
35 KT WINDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY WILL BE UPPED TO 40 KT...

...EC SIX HAS TURNED INTO A WARM CORE CYCLONE. THIS MEANS MORE GRADUAL WEAKENING
FOR THE SYSTEM...

FORECAST
--------
INIT...14/1200Z...55N 45W...40 KT  998 MB
12HR...15/0000Z...53N 44W...35 KT 1000 MB
24HR...15/1200Z...52N 40W...35 KT 1001 MB
36HR...16/0000Z...52N 37W...30 KT 1003 MB
48HR...16/1200Z...52N 34W...30 KT 1003 MB
72HR...17/1200Z...55N 30W...25 KT 1005 MB
96HR...18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

FORECASTER KIEWII

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