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EUROPEAN WINDSTORM (EW) BARNABAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
2100 UTC THU 5 JULY 2012

ASCAT DATA AND LAND OBSERVATIONS SHOW THAT JULY'S THIRD WINDSTORM
HAS FORMED. SINCE THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT BE NAMED OFFICIALLY BY THE
FREE UNIVERSITY OF BERLIN...WE HAVE NAMED THE SYSTEM BARNABAS.

THE UNITED KINGDOM MET OFFICE HAVE ISSUED AN AMBER WARNING OF
HEAVY RAIN FOR THE ENGLISH MIDLANDS TOMORROW. THIS IS ACCOMPANIED
BY 84 FLOOD WATCHES FOR NEARLY ALL OF ENGLAND. THE SCOTTISH
ENVIROMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY HAS ALSO ISSUED FLOOD WATCHES FOR
ALL SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF THE COUNTRY.

MODELS...FINALLY...ARE CERTAIN ABOUT THIS STORM. ONLY THE GFS
TAKES THE SYSTEM OVER SCANDINAVIA. THE FORECAST BELOW TAKES
BARNABAS OVER THE UNITED KINGDOM...INTO THE CELTIC SEA...THEN THE
ENGLISH CHANNEL...AND DISSIPATING OVER NORTHWEST FRANCE ON 9 JULY.

FORECAST
--------
INIT...05/2100Z...50N  5E...20 KT 1008 MB...INLAND
12HR...06/0600Z...54N  4E...25 KT 1004 MB...OVER WATER
24HR...06/1800Z...53N  4W...20 KT 1006 MB...INLAND
36HR...07/0600Z...51N  7W...35 KT  997 MB...OVER WATER
48HR...07/1800Z...50N  5W...40 KT  995 MB
72HR...08/1800Z...50N  4E...25 KT 1003 MB...INLAND
96HR...09/1800Z...DISSIPATED

FORECASTER KIEWII

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