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EUROPEAN WINDSTORM (EW) COLBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
2100 UTC WED 18 JULY 2012

...ONCE AGAIN COLBY IS TOO FAR EAST FOR ANYTHING. BUT BASED ON ATMOSPHERIC DATA
AVAILABLE TO ANY PERSON...COLBY HAS 40 KT WINDS...

...COLBY HAS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF BECOMING A HURRICANE-FORCE LOW (HFL) OVER 
THE ARCTIC OCEAN IN A FEW DAYS TIME. THIS WOULD BE THE FIRST HFL FOR YEARS IN
JULY...

FORECAST
--------
INIT...18/1800Z...59N 49E...40 KT 991 MB...INLAND
12HR...19/0600Z...65N 45E...45 KT 982 MB...INLAND
24HR...19/1800Z...67N 42E...50 KT 979 MB...OVER WATER
36HR...20/0600Z...69N 39E...45 KT 984 MB
48HR...20/1800Z...71N 34E...35 KT 991 MB
72HR...21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

FORECASTER KIEWII

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