FANDOM


EUROPEAN WINDSTORM (EW) MINA DISCUSSION 4
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
2100 UTC TUE 3 JULY 2012

SATELLITE REPRESENTATION OF EW MINA CONTINUES TO GET WORSE. NOW ONLY
5 DEGREE CELSIUS CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN RECORDED. HOWEVER
LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER...-25C CLOUD TOPS
HAVE BEEN DETECTED WHICH IS KEEPING MINA A WINDSTORM. WIND INTENSITY
REMAINS THE SAME UNTIL THE NEW ASCAT PASS IS RELEASED.

ONCE EW MINA REACHES THE CELTIC SEA IT WIL SLOW DOWN...BRINGING THE
THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN ONCE MORE TO ENGLAND. AS A PRECAUTION...THE
ENGLAND AND WALES ENVIROMENTAL AGENCY HAVE ISSUED 9 FLOOD WATCHES FOR
SOUTHWEST ENGLAND.

MODELS REMAIN UNCLEAR WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE CMC AND UKMET HAVE MINA
MAKING LANDFALL ON THE ISLE OF WIGHT BEFORE MAKING A HALF LOOP OVER
INTO ENGLAND...BUT THE GFS TAKES THE STORM OVER THE NORTH SEA AND
STRENGTHENING OVER SCANDINAVIA. THE KCDSGAAC WOULD RATHER FOLLOW THE
CMC AND UKMET.

FORECAST
--------
INIT...03/2100Z...30 KT 1000 MB
12HR...04/0600Z...30 KT 1003 MB
24HR...04/1800Z...25 KT 1007 MB...INLAND
36HR...05/0600Z...25 KT 1006 MB...OVER WATER
48HR...05/1800Z...30 KT 1007 MB
72HR...06/1800Z...25 KT 1011 MB...INLAND
96HR...07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

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