European windstorms/2012/July/Mina/Discussion 6

EUROPEAN WINDSTORM (EW) MINA DISCUSSION 6
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
1500 UTC WED 4 JULY 2012

MINA'S LANDFALL STRENGTHENING HAS RUINED THE KCSGAAC FORECAST. BASED
ON THE 12Z ASCAT PASS...WINDS HAVE STRENGTHENED TO 30 KT. AND NO...THE
STRENGTHENING WILL NOT CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING. ONCE SHE SLOWS DOWN
AND BEGINS TO DISSIPATE SHE WILL. THE EUROPEAN MODEL IS SHOWING ANOTHER
STORM FORMING AFTER MINA. INCREDIBLE.

NOW IT'S THE SECTION ON FLOODING. THE ENGLAND AND WALES ENVIROMENTAL
AGENCY HAS LOWERED IS FLOOD WATCHES NOW FOR SOUTHWEST ENGLAND TO THREE.
THIS IS PROBABLY DUE TO THEM SEEING THE KCSGAAC'S FORECAST.

THANKFULLY...THE GFS NO LONGER TAKES MINA OVER SCANDINAVIA...AND ALONG
WITH THE CMC AND UKMET...IT SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER NORTHWESTERN FRANCE.

FORECAST

INIT...04/1500Z...30 KT 999 MB
12HR...05/0000Z...25 KT 1004 MB
24HR...05/1200Z...25 KT 1007 MB
36HR...06/0000Z...20 KT 1010 MB...INLAND
48HR...07/0000Z...DISSIPATED