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TROPICAL STORM FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
KIEWII-COBRASTRIKE GACC DUNDEE UK
1500 UTC FRI 03 AUG 2012

SHEAR HAS RETURNED TO FRANK...HOWEVER...SOME SOURCES REPORT THAT THE STORM HAS
STRENGTHENED. BUT FOR THE KCSGACC...WE WILL REMAIN AT 40 KT. FRANK DOES HAVE
A LARGE WIND FIELD...WITH 34 KT+ WINDS EXTENDING NEARLY 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

MODELS CONTINUOUSLY MAKE TS FRANK STRONGER BY RUN. THIS ALSO COINCIDES WITH US
MAKING THE SYSTEM STRONGER IN OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST BELOW. BY DAY 3...SOUTH
JAPAN COULD BE DEALING WITH HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS...OR MAYBE EVEN MORE THAN
THAT.

FORECAST
--------
INIT...03/1200Z...24.9N 138.1E...40 KT 990 MB
12HR...04/0000Z...25.8N 135.6E...45 KT 988 MB
24HR...04/1200Z...26.6N 132.9E...45 KT 986 MB
36HR...05/0000Z...27.1N 130.8E...45 KT 984 MB
48HR...05/1200Z...27.5N 128.5E...55 KT 975 MB
72HR...06/1200Z...26.8N 128.3E...65 KT 968 MB
96HR...07/1200Z...26.6N 128.5E...80 KT 956 MB
120HR..08/1200Z...27.5N 128.9E...90 KT 948 MB

FORECASTER KIEWII

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